Vast Disparity: Predictions of Climate Change, vs. Actual Observations
Report Finds Vast Disparity Between Computer Models’ Predictions of Climate Change and Actual Observations
by Jon Sanders
Director of the Center for Food, Power, and Life, Research Editor, John Locke Foundation
February 1, 2024
A new paper by Dr. Roy W. Spencer, principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville in 2001 and formerly senior scientist for climate studies at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, demonstrated how computerized climate models’ predictions over the years have all failed even to come close to the actual observations over the past 50 years.
One might think, So what? Climate science is extraordinarily complex. There are so many variables yet to be discovered. There is so much unknown even about the variables we know about. We can’t possibly expect computer models missing so much unknown key information to make accurate predictions.
That is entirely the point. These same models, whose profound history of failure we would excuse, have not been merely experimental stabs at modeling the future climate of the wide world. They have also been — and worse, are still being — used to justify enormous disruptions in our economy and how we live our lives.
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